Does a Bad Start Lead to a Bad Finish in Japan
Does a Bad Start Lead to a Bad Finish in Japan
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在日本，糟糕的开始会导致糟糕的结局吗？
DOI：
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Kousuke Shiraishi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Noriyuki Takayama;Kousuke Shiraishi
在过去的十年里，欧洲国家越来越关注“糟糕的开始，糟糕的结束”问题。许多年轻人的职业生涯一开始就不顺利，在很长一段时间里一直是非典型工人，预计到退休年龄时，社会保障养恤金福利不足。日本的情况又如何呢？在本文中，我们讨论是否BS/BF问题是严重的，在日本。使用的数据集是《2011年就业和生育率纵向调查：网络版》。该调查代表了3893名年龄在30-49岁之间（1961年11月至1981年10月出生）的人。本报告是根据2009年度社会保险厅发布的特别社会保障说明书（日语版“橙子信”），对约16万份观察结果进行长期回顾的面板数据。我们在本文中的初步调查结果证实，BS/BF问题目前在日本和欧洲国家一样严重。在这一代的年轻工人中，BS的比例已分别上升至约40%（女性）和32%（男性），而目前年轻BS人员的BF风险将分别为约90%（女性）和略高于50%（男性）。他们退休后的贫困率可能会成为相当大的问题。
There has been a growing concern about “Bad Start, Bad Finish (BS/BF)” issues in European countries for the last decade. Many young persons make a bad start to their working career and remain as atypical workers for long periods, being anticipated to reach retirement age with inadequate social security pension benefits. What about the case of Japan? In this paper, we discuss whether the BS/BF problem is as serious in Japan. The data set used is the 2011 Longitudinal Survey on Employment and Fertility (LOSEF): An Internet Version. The survey represents a sample of 3893 individuals aged 30-49 (born between November 1961 and October 1981). It contains long-term retrospective panel data of around 160,000 observations transcribed from the special Social Security Statements (the Japanese version of “Orange Letter”) issued by the Social Insurance Agency in fiscal 2009. Our provisional findings in this paper confirm that the BS/BF issue is currently as serious in Japan as in European countries. For young workers of the current generation, the proportions of BS have been increasing up to around 40% (females) and 32% (males) respectively, and the BF risk for current young BS persons will be around 90% (females) and a little more than 50% (males) respectively. Their incidence of poverty after retirement is likely to become quite problematic.
日本的公共养老金改革
DOI：
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发表时间：
2010
期刊：
Economic Analysis and Policy 40(2)
影响因子：
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作者：
Okamoto;A.
通讯作者：
A.