Birth-spacing, fertility and neonatal mortality in India: Dynamics, frailty, and fecundity

Birth-spacing, fertility and neonatal mortality in India: Dynamics, frailty, and fecundity
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DOI:
10.1016/j.jeconom.2007.10.005
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发表时间:
2008-04-01
影响因子:
6.3
通讯作者:
van Soest, Arthur
van Soest, Arthur
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bhalotra, Sonia;van Soest, Arthur

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使用印度30,000例分娩的微观数据和动态面板数据模型,我们分析了出生间隔对随后的新生儿死亡率和死亡率对随后的出生间隔的因果影响,控制了未观察到的异质性。右删失是通过联合估计生育率方程,确定使用绝育数据。我们在两个方向上都发现了脆弱性、繁殖力和因果效应的证据。出生间隔只能解释一个家庭中连续子女的新生儿死亡率之间的有限关系。我们预测,每有一个新生儿死亡,就会有0.37个新生儿出生,其中0.30个存活下来。(C)2007 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。
Using microdata on 30,000 childbirths in India and dynamic panel data models, we analyse causal effects of birth-spacing on subsequent neonatal mortality and of mortality on subsequent birth intervals, controlling for unobserved heterogeneity. Right censoring is accounted for by jointly estimating a fertility equation, identified by using data on sterilization. We find evidence of frailty, fecundity, and causal effects in both directions. Birth intervals explain only a limited share of the correlation between neonatal mortality of successive children in a family. We predict that for every neonatal death, 0.37 additional children are born, of whom 0.30 survive. (C) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.