Estimating the Housing Infill Capacity of the Bay Area

Estimating the Housing Infill Capacity of the Bay Area
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估算湾区的住房填充能力

DOI:
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发表时间:
2000
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
J. Landis
J. Landis
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
J. Sandoval;J. Landis

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作者(S):桑多瓦尔,胡安·奥内西莫;兰迪斯,约翰·D|摘要:根据加州财政部的数据,从现在到2020年,由九个县组成的旧金山湾区将增加近150万新居民。根据新开发的密度,该地区将需要9万至15万英亩的可开发土地来适应这种增长水平。如果目前的趋势继续下去,大多数新的开发将发生在城市边缘以前未开发的绿地上。这将对该地区的自然环境和空地造成巨大压力,特别是在阿拉米达、科斯塔和圣克拉拉县。保护开放空间和敏感环境土地的一种方法是容纳更多的增长作为填充。“填充”一词传统上指的是开发空置、清理或废弃的地块,最近被扩展到包括土地再利用和回收--即对物理或经济上未得到充分利用的已开发地块的重新开发。这份报告考虑了整个旧金山湾区九个县的填充和填充开发的潜力和经济可行性。它的目的有三个方面:(1)使用实际的密度和经济条件范围来确定湾区的物理和经济填充能力;(2)确定湾区内填充机会的位置和模式,同时考虑到湾区的经济、自然、政府和社会结构;以及(3)建立和测试一个程序来识别和分析可以可靠地用于州和国家其他地方的填充开发。这一分析的结果导致了关于旧金山湾区住宅填充活动增加的可能性的几个结论。
Author(s): Sandoval, Juan Onesimo; Landis, John D. | Abstract: The nine-county San Francisco Bay Area, according to the California Department of Finance, will add nearly 1.5 million new residents between now and 2020. Depending on the density of new development, the region will need between 90,000 and 150,000 acres of developable land to accommodate this level of growth. If current trends continue, most new development will occur on previously undeveloped greenfield sites at the urban fringe. This will put substantial pressure on the region's natural environment and open space lands -- particularly in Alameda, Contra Costa, and Santa Clara counties. One way to preserve open space and sensitive environmental lands is to accommodate more growth as infill.The term "infill," which has traditionally meant the development of vacant, cleared, or abandoned parcels, has more recently been expanded to include land reuse and recycling -- that is, the redevelopment of developed parcels that are physically or economically underutilized.This report considers the potential for and economic viability of infill and refill development throughout the nine-county San Francisco Bay Area. Its purpose is three-fold: (1) to ascertain the physical and economic infill capacity of the Bay Area, using a realistic range of densities and economic conditions; (2) to identify the locations and pattern of infill opportunities within the Bay Area, keeping in mind the economic, physical, governmental and social structure of the Bay Area; and (3) to establish and test a procedure for identifying and analyzing infill development which can be reliably used elsewhere in the state and country.The results of this analysis lead to several conclusions regarding the potential for increased residential infill activity in the San Francisco Bay Area.