Reconsidering the Relationship between Authoritarianism and Republican Support in 2016 and Beyond
Reconsidering the Relationship between Authoritarianism and Republican Support in 2016 and Beyond
复制标题
重新思考 2016 年及以后威权主义与共和党支持之间的关系
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2020
影响因子：
3.1
通讯作者：
Matthew D. Luttig
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Matthew D. Luttig
威权主义越来越多地与共和党的党派之争和共和党候选人在总统选举中的投票选择联系在一起。许多人依靠这一事实来解释唐纳德·特朗普在2016年成功竞选总统的力量。但是，威权主义是否在推动党派和候选人偏好的变化？尽管对威权主义和政治结果的研究范围很广，但绝大多数研究都只依赖于相关性分析。本文通过两项面板研究解决了这一缺陷。在这两种情况下，研究结果显示，对共和党人的支持与威权主义的育儿措施之间存在更一致和更强的反向时间关系。权威主义并不像人们普遍认为的那样是政治态度的外生产物。相反，威权主义的分歧似乎在很大程度上是选民模仿他们的政治领导人的暗示的产物。
Authoritarianism has become increasingly associated with Republican partisanship and vote choice for Republican candidates in presidential elections. Many have relied on this fact to explain the forces giving rise to Donald Trump’s successful presidential run in 2016. But is authoritarianism driving changes in partisanship and candidate preference? Despite the wide reach of research on authoritarianism and political outcomes, the vast majority of this research rests solely on correlational analyses. This article addresses this shortcoming with two panel studies. In both cases, the findings show a more consistent and stronger reverse temporal relationship between support for Republicans and the child-rearing measure of authoritarianism. Authoritarianism is not exogenous from political attitudes as widely assumed. Instead, the authoritarian divide appears to be largely a product of cue taking on the part of the electorate mimicking their political leaders.