UTILITY OF CORRECTLY PREDICTING INFREQUENT EVENTS
UTILITY OF CORRECTLY PREDICTING INFREQUENT EVENTS
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DOI：
10.1037/h0046489
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发表时间：
1962-01-01
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
BRAVOS, A
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
BRACKBILL, Y;BRAVOS, A
“尽管几个实验参数之间存在很大差异，但结果与以前一样。为了最大限度地预测试验n从以前的试验上发生的事件较少或最不频繁，有必要考虑S的以前的预测，除了以前的实际发生。此外，本研究结果中的效应方向支持了最初的解释：S正确预测不太（或最不）频繁事件的发生具有相对更大的效用。有趣的是，看看同样的现象是否会普遍发生在任何类型的学习情境中，在这种情境中，S发现E的“游戏”乏味而无趣，可以并且确实发明了他自己的游戏。“（PsycINFO数据库记录（c）2016阿帕，保留所有权利）
" In spite of wide variations within several experimental parameters, the same result has emerged as before. In order to maximize prediction to trial n from preceding trials on which the less or least frequent event occurred, it is necessary to consider S's previous prediction in addition to the previous actual occurrence. Also, the direction of the effect in the present results supports the original interpretation: that there is a relaively greater utility to S of correctly predicting the occurrence of the less (or least) frequent event. It would be interesting to see if the same phenomenon might occur generally in any type of learning situation in which S, finding E's' game'tedious and uninteresting, can and does invent one of his own."(PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2016 APA, all rights reserved)