Predicting the vote: Implicit attitudes as predictors of the future behavior of decided and undecided voters
Predicting the vote: Implicit attitudes as predictors of the future behavior of decided and undecided voters
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DOI：
10.1111/j.1467-9221.2008.00635.x
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发表时间：
2008-06-01
影响因子：
4.6
通讯作者：
Amadori, Alessandro
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Arcuri, Luciano;Castelli, Luigi;Amadori, Alessandro
两项研究评估了内隐政治态度与投票行为的预测有效性。在研究1中，我们证明了所采用措施的有效性（即，IAT; Greenwald，McGhee，& Schwartz，1998）与明显站在反对党一边的选民样本。在研究2中，在选举前一个月对未决定的选民进行了内隐政治偏好的测量，并在选举后立即评估了实际的投票行为。结果表明，内隐政治态度是良好的预测未来的投票行为。这些发现支持了这样的假设，即即使在那些在明确和有意识的层面上否认对两个对立候选人之一有任何偏好的选民中，也存在着胚胎态度。
Two studies assessed the predictive validity of implicit political attitudes in relation to voting behavior. In Study 1, we demonstrated the validity of the adopted measure (i.e., the IAT; Greenwald, McGhee, & Schwartz, 1998) with a sample of voters who clearly sided with one of the opposing parties. In Study 2, implicit political preferences were measured in a sample of undecided voters one month before the election, and actual voting behavior was assessed immediately after the election. Results demonstrated that implicit political attitudes were good predictors of future voting behaviors. These findings support the hypothesis of the presence of embryonic attitudes even in the case of those voters who at the explicit and conscious level deny any preference for one of the two opposing candidates.