Simulating economic growth effects on food and nutrition security in Yemen: A new macro–micro modeling approach
Simulating economic growth effects on food and nutrition security in Yemen: A new macro–micro modeling approach
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DOI：
10.1016/j.econmod.2014.07.029
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发表时间：
2014-12
影响因子：
4.7
通讯作者：
C. Breisinger;O. Ecker
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
C. Breisinger;O. Ecker
这篇论文提出了一种创新的方法，用于估计一国食品和营养安全随时间的变化，受经济增长和相关收入分配的影响。具体地说，我们将动态可计算的一般均衡模型与家庭和个人层面的回归模型结合起来，并应用这种宏观-微观方法来评估2011/12年也门危机引发的经济衰退的影响，以及2013年至2020年的两种替代过渡情景。我们的结果有力地表明，也门不仅需要更快的经济增长，而且需要更广泛的基础经济增长，才能迅速恢复到危机前的粮食和营养安全水平。除了使穷人受益的更广泛的增长外，还需要采取有针对性的措施来改善营养，例如综合托儿方案以及与计划生育、女性教育和卡塔尔消费有关的宣传活动。
This paper presents an innovative approach for estimating changes in a country's food and nutrition security subject to economic growth and related income distribution over time. Specifically, we combine a dynamic computable general equilibrium model with household- and individual-level regression models and apply this macro–micro approach to assess the effects of Yemen's crisis-induced economic recession in 2011/12, together with two alternative transition scenarios from 2013 to 2020. Our results strongly suggest that not only more rapid, but also broader based economic growth will be needed for a quick return to pre-crisis food and nutrition security levels in Yemen. In addition to broader based growth that benefits the poor, targeted measures for improving nutrition such as integrated childcare programs and awareness campaigns related to family planning, female education, and qat consumption are needed.