Measuring poverty in a growing world (or measuring growth in a poor world)

Measuring poverty in a growing world (or measuring growth in a poor world)
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DOI:
10.1162/0034653053327612
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发表时间:
2005-02-01
影响因子:
8
通讯作者:
Deaton, A
Deaton, A
中科院分区:
经济学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Deaton, A

文献摘要

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经济增长在多大程度上减少了全球贫困,这个问题已经争论了30年。尽管有了比以往更好的数据,但争议并未得到解决。一个主要问题是,在整个世界和大国,特别是印度、中国和美国,用于衡量贫困的家庭调查所衡量的消费增长速度低于国民核算所衡量的消费。因此,贫穷国家衡量贫困的下降速度低于衡量增长所保证的速度。一个貌似合理的原因是,较富裕的家庭不太可能参与调查。但是,国民账户的增长也有向上的偏向,国民账户中的消费包含了大量快速增长的项目,这些项目既不被穷人消费,也不包括在调查中。因此,穷人消费的增长速度可能低于国民消费,而衡量的不平等没有任何增加。贫穷国家目前的统计程序低估了全球减贫的速度,高估了世界经济的增长。
The extent to which growth reduces global poverty has been disputed for 30 years. Although there are better data than ever before, controversies are not resolved. A major problem is that consumption measured from household surveys, which is used to measure poverty, grows less rapidly than consumption measured in national accounts, in the world as a whole and in large countries, particularly India, China, and the United States. In consequence, measured poverty has fallen less rapidly than appears warranted by measured growth in poor countries. One plausible cause is that richer households are less likely to participate in surveys. But growth in the national accounts is also upward biased, and consumption in the national accounts contains large and rapidly growing items that are not consumed by the poor and not included in surveys. So it is possible for consumption of the poor to grow less rapidly than national consumption, without any increase in measured inequality. Current statistical procedures in poor countries understate the rate of global poverty reduction, and overstate growth in the world.