LONG-TERM IMPACT OF INITIAL SURGICAL AND MEDICAL THERAPY ON PAPILLARY AND FOLLICULAR THYROID-CANCER
LONG-TERM IMPACT OF INITIAL SURGICAL AND MEDICAL THERAPY ON PAPILLARY AND FOLLICULAR THYROID-CANCER
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DOI:
10.1016/0002-9343(94)90321-2
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发表时间:
1994-11-01
影响因子:
5.9
通讯作者:
JHIANG, SM
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
MAZZAFERRI, EL;JHIANG, SM
PURPOSE: To determine the long-term impact of medical and surgical treatment of well differentiated papillary and follicular thyroid cancer.METHODS: Patients with papillary and follicular cancer (n = 1,355) treated either in U.S. Air Force or Ohio State University hospitals over the past 40 years were prospectively followed by questionnaire or personal examination to determine treatment outcomes. Outcomes were analyzed by Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional-hazard regression model.RESULTS: Median follow-up was 15.7 years; 42% (568) of the patients were followed for 20 years and 14% (185) for 30 years. After 30 years, the survival rate was 76%, the recurrence rate was 30%, and the cancer death rate was 8%. Recurrences were most frequent at the extremes of age (59 years). Cancer mortality rates were lowest in patients younger than 40 years and increased with each subsequent decade of life. Thirty-year cancer mortality rates were greatest in follicular cancer patients, who were more likely to have adverse prognostic factors: older age, larger tumors, more mediastinal node involvement, and distant metastases. When patients with distant metastases at diagnosis were excluded, follicular and papillary cancer mortality rates were similar (10% versus 6%, P not significant [NS]). In a Cox regression model that excluded patients who presented with distant metastases, the likelihood of cancer death was (1) increased by age greater than or equal to 40 years, tumor size greater than or equal to 1.5 cm, local tumor invasion, regional lymph-node metastases, and delay in therapy greater than or equal to 12 months; (2) reduced by female sex, surgery more extensive than lobectomy, and I-131 plus thyroid hormone therapy; and (3) unaffected by tumor histologic type. Following I-131 therapy given only to ablate normal thyroid gland remnants, the recurrence rate was less than one third the rate after thyroid hormone therapy alone (P