Climate Change And Health Risks: Assessing And Responding To Them Through 'Adaptive Management'
Climate Change And Health Risks: Assessing And Responding To Them Through 'Adaptive Management'
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DOI：
10.1377/hlthaff.2011.0071
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发表时间：
2011-05-01
期刊：
影响因子：
9.7
通讯作者：
Ebi, Kristie
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Ebi, Kristie
气候变化和相关的天气模式变化，包括恶劣天气事件，预计将增加各种健康风险的发生率。然而，这些变化的时间、地点和严重程度尚不确定。适应性管理是在不完善信息的情况下进行结构化决策的过程，是一种可以帮助公共卫生领域有效预测、规划和应对气候变化健康风险的方法。在本文中，我描述了适应性管理以及它如何提高地方和国家战略、政策和计划的有效性，以管理气候敏感的健康结果。
Climate change and associated changing weather patterns, including severe weather events, are expected to increase the prevalence of a wide range of health risks. Yet there is uncertainty about the timing, location, and severity of these changes. Adaptive management, a structured process of decision making in the face of imperfect information, is an approach that can help the public health field effectively anticipate, plan for, and respond to the health risks of climate change. In this article I describe adaptive management and how it could increase the effectiveness of local and national strategies, policies, and programs to manage climate-sensitive health outcomes.