Underreporting COVID-19: the curious case of the Indian subcontinent.

Underreporting COVID-19: the curious case of the Indian subcontinent.
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DOI:
10.1017/s0950268820002095
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发表时间:
2020-09-11
影响因子:
4.2
通讯作者:
Huq S
Huq S
中科院分区:
医学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Biswas RK;Afiaz A;Huq S

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COVID-19已蔓延至地球仪,欧洲及北美洲的负担更重。然而,在低收入和中等收入国家,特别是在印度次大陆,传播率最近有所上升。这些国家现有的数据存在严重的少报偏差,主要原因是资源和可获得性有限。大多数比较跨国病例或死亡率的研究可能无法解释这种系统性偏差,并得出错误的结论。本文就如何有效地解决数据质量、测试覆盖率和用例数方面的问题提供了一些建议。
COVID-19 has spread across the globe with higher burden placed in Europe and North America. However, the rate of transmission has recently picked up in low- and middle-income countries, particularly in the Indian subcontinent. There is a severe underreporting bias in the existing data available from these countries mostly due to the limitation of resources and accessibility. Most studies comparing cross-country cases or fatalities could fail to account for this systematic bias and reach erroneous conclusions. This paper provides several recommendations on how to effectively tackle these issues regarding data quality, test coverage and case counts.