Progress and challenges in glacial lake outburst flood research (2017-2021): a research community perspective
Progress and challenges in glacial lake outburst flood research (2017-2021): a research community perspective
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DOI：
10.5194/nhess-22-3041-2022
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发表时间：
2022-09-19
影响因子：
4.6
通讯作者：
Yde, Jacob C.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Emmer, Adam;Allen, Simon K.;Yde, Jacob C.
冰湖溃决洪水（GLOFs）是世界范围内山脉冰川退缩最令人担忧的后果之一。在过去的20年里，GLOFs引起了科学家和从业人员的极大关注，特别是对GLOF灾害的物理驱动因素和机制以及影响对GLOF事件的脆弱性的社会经济和其他与人类有关的发展特别感兴趣。这种对GLOFs的研究日益增加，反映在每年发表的论文数量逐渐增加。这项研究通过分析2017年至2021年期间发表的594项同行评议的GLOF研究（Web of Science和Scopus数据库），回顾了GLOF研究的内容和地理重点以及其他特征，概述了最近的GLOF研究。这篇评论补充了第一届GLOF会议（2021年7月7日至9日，在线）的观点，其中主要山区的全球GLOF研究社区聚集在一起，讨论综合GLOF研究的现状。因此，来自17个国家的代表确定并阐述了趋势和挑战，并提出了可能的前进方向，以指导今后在四个专题领域开展关于全球冰川断裂问题的研究：（一）了解全球冰川断裂问题-时间和进程;（二）全球冰川断裂问题和全球冰川断裂问题进程链的建模;（三）全球冰川断裂问题风险管理、预防和预警;（四）全球冰川断裂问题和全球冰川断裂问题归因于气候变化的人的因素。
Glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) are among the most concerning consequences of retreating glaciers in mountain ranges worldwide. GLOFs have attracted significant attention amongst scientists and practitioners in the past 2 decades, with particular interest in the physical drivers and mechanisms of GLOF hazard and in socioeconomic and other human-related developments that affect vulnerabilities to GLOF events. This increased research focus on GLOFs is reflected in the gradually increasing number of papers published annually. This study offers an overview of recent GLOF research by analysing 594 peer-reviewed GLOF studies published between 2017 and 2021 (Web of Science and Scopus databases), reviewing the content and geographical focus as well as other characteristics of GLOF studies. This review is complemented with perspectives from the first GLOF conference (7-9 July 2021, online) where a global GLOF research community of major mountain regions gathered to discuss the current state of the art of integrated GLOF research. Therefore, representatives from 17 countries identified and elaborated trends and challenges and proposed possible ways forward to navigate future GLOF research, in four thematic areas: (i) understanding GLOFs - timing and processes; (ii) modelling GLOFs and GLOF process chains; (iii) GLOF risk management, prevention and warning; and (iv) human dimensions of GLOFs and GLOF attribution to climate change.