State-Sponsored Mass Murder
State-Sponsored Mass Murder
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国家支持的大规模谋杀
DOI：
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发表时间：
1997
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Matthew Krain
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Matthew Krain
作者认为，政治机会结构的开放，而不是权力集中的水平，最能预测种族灭绝或政治家的开始，以及哪些国家将参与最严重的国家支持的大规模谋杀。这些和其他假设进行测试。logit模型的分析表明，内战的参与是最一致的预测种族灭绝或政治家的发病，和其他政治机会结构变量有一定的影响，特别是当与至少一个其他政治机会结构变量相结合。对负二项事件计数模型的分析还表明，政治机会结构变量最能说明特定种族灭绝或政治灭绝的严重程度。总而言之，政治机会结构中的开放对于理解是什么影响种族灭绝和政治犯的发生和严重程度比其他更静态的变量更重要。
The author argues that openings in the political opportunity structure, rather than the levels of concentration of power, best predict the onset of genocides or politicides and which states will engage in the most severe state-sponsored mass murder. These and other hypotheses are tested. Analysis of logit models reveals that civil war involvement is the most consistent predictor of the onset of genocides or politicides, and other political opportunity structure variables have some effects, especially when in combination with at least one of the other political opportunity structure variables. Analysis of negative binomial event-count models also reveals that political opportunity structure variables best account for the degree of severity of a given genocide or politicide. In sum, openings in the political opportunity structure are more important in understanding what affects the onset and degree of severity of genocides and politicides than other more static variables.