The drying up of Britain? A national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 Regional Climate Model simulations
The drying up of Britain? A national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 Regional Climate Model simulations
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DOI：
10.1002/hyp.8434
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发表时间：
2012-03-30
影响因子：
3.2
通讯作者：
Allen, Stuart
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Prudhomme, Christel;Young, Andy;Allen, Stuart
由于气候变化可能会显著改变水文循环，了解对河流流量的影响十分重要，因为它影响到长期的水资源规划。在这里，我们描述了一个高分辨率的英国评估河流流量的变化，在2050年代的11个不同的实现HadRM3。在冬季，河流流量可能会增加或减少，夏季流量可能会减少。这些结果应该鼓励适应，以应对未来广泛的水文条件。版权所有（C）2011约翰威利父子有限公司
As climate change may modify the hydrological cycle significantly, understanding the impact on river flow is important because it affects long-term water resources planning. Here, we describe a high-resolution British assessment of changes in river flows in the 2050s under 11 different realisations of HadRM3. In winter, river flows may either increase or decrease, with a wide range of possible decreases in summer flow. These results should encourage adaptation that copes with a broad range of future hydrological conditions. Copyright (C) 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.