Impacts of Basin-Scale Climate Modes on Coastal Sea Level: a Review

Impacts of Basin-Scale Climate Modes on Coastal Sea Level: a Review
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DOI:
10.1007/s10712-019-09562-8
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发表时间:
2019-08
影响因子:
4.6
通讯作者:
W. Han;D. Stammer;P. Thompson;T. Ezer;H. Palanisamy;Xuebin Zhang;C. Domingues;Lei Zhang;D. Yuan
W. Han;D. Stammer;P. Thompson;T. Ezer;H. Palanisamy;Xuebin Zhang;C. Domingues;Lei Zhang;D. Yuan
中科院分区:
地球科学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
W. Han;D. Stammer;P. Thompson;T. Ezer;H. Palanisamy;Xuebin Zhang;C. Domingues;Lei Zhang;D. Yuan

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与气候变暖相关的全球海平面上升对沿海社会和低洼岛屿地区造成了重大压力。然而,过去几十年观测到的沿海SLR速率与全球平均值存在较大的时空差异,这在很大程度上归因于盆地尺度气候模式。在本文中,我们回顾了气候模式对沿海海平面变化的影响,从年际到多年代际的时间尺度。本文分别阐述了太平洋、印度洋和大西洋的相关气候模态、它们的影响以及通过远端和局地过程的相关驱动机制。本文还指出了未来气候模式对沿海海平面影响研究的主要问题和挑战。了解气候模式的影响对于熟练的近期预测和可靠的不确定性量化沿海SLR的未来预测至关重要。
Global sea level rise (SLR) associated with a warming climate exerts significant stress on coastal societies and low-lying island regions. The rates of coastal SLR observed in the past few decades, however, have large spatial and temporal differences from the global mean, which to a large part have been attributed to basin-scale climate modes. In this paper, we review our current state of knowledge about climate modes’ impacts on coastal sea level variability from interannual-to-multidecadal timescales. Relevant climate modes, their impacts and associated driving mechanisms through both remote and local processes are elaborated separately for the Pacific, Indian and Atlantic Oceans. This paper also identifies major issues and challenges for future research on climate modes’ impacts on coastal sea level. Understanding the effects of climate modes is essential for skillful near-term predictions and reliable uncertainty quantifications for future projections of coastal SLR.