Three-Way Power Dynamics in the Arctic

Three-Way Power Dynamics in the Arctic
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北极的三向动力动态

DOI:
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发表时间:
2020
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
R. Pincus
R. Pincus
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
R. Pincus

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北极是对美中俄大国竞争具有重要意义的新兴地区。这是由于自然资源集中在北极,以及它未来作为太平洋和大西洋之间的运输走廊的用途。俄罗斯在北极的主导地位使美中两国关系复杂化。虽然大多数美国高层安全战略和话语都将大国竞争的回归视为当前占主导地位的安全范式,但中国和俄罗斯通常被孤立对待。然而,在北极问题上,中俄合作是制定美国战略时需要考虑的关键因素。本文将中国在北极的雄心放在中国大战略的大背景下,评估了中俄北极合作的基础和前景。它还提出了一个三管齐下的框架,用于理解中俄在北极地区的合作--经济、军事和政治--在这些合作中,控制和信任问题存在争议。
The Arctic is an emerging region of great significance to USChinaRussia great power competition. This is due to the concentration of natural resources in the Arctic, as well as its future use as a transportation corridor between the Pacific and Atlantic. Russia’s dominant position in the Arctic complicates the USChina dyad. While most highlevel US security strategies and discourse identify the return of great power competition as the dominant current security paradigm, China and Russia are generally treated in isolation from each other. However, when it comes to the Arctic, ChinaRussia cooperation is a crucial factor to consider when formulating US strategy. This article places Chinese ambitions in the Arctic in the context of Chinese grand strategy and assesses the basis of, and prospects for, ChineseRussian Arctic cooperation. It also advances a threetrack framework for understanding ChineseRussian cooperation in the Arctic—economic, military, and political—in which issues of control and trust are contested.