Biofuels from agricultural biomass in Zimbabwe: Feedstock availability and energy potential
Biofuels from agricultural biomass in Zimbabwe: Feedstock availability and energy potential
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DOI：
10.1016/j.egypro.2017.12.018
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发表时间：
2017-12
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Andile B. Maqhuzu;K. Yoshikawa;F. Takahashi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Andile B. Maqhuzu;K. Yoshikawa;F. Takahashi
在津巴布韦，作物残茬和动物粪便可以为可转化为生物燃料的生物质贡献很大一部分。本文将扩展一种涉及使用概率分布的定量方法，以严格解决生物量量化中的不确定性。使用Palisade的@Risk工具进行的10万次蒙特卡罗模拟结果显示，在90%的置信区间内：2.55- 550万Mg/yr。为299 ~ 499万Mg/年。产生了大量的粪便。作物秸秆和粪便的可利用能量年平均分别为2660万吉焦和1690万吉焦
Crop residues and animal dung can contribute a significant portion to the biomass available for conversion to biofuels in Zimbabwe. This paper will extend a quantitative methodology involving the use of probability distributions to rigorously address uncertainty in the quantification of this biomass. The results of 100 000 Monte Carlo simulations using Palisade’s @Risk tool indicates the following at a 90% confidence interval: 2.55-5.50 million Mg/yr. of crop residue and 2.99-4.99 million Mg/yr. of dung is generated. The total exploitable energy was estimated at an annual mean of 26.6 and 16.9 million GJ for crop residue and dung respectively