Modeling the effects of a log export ban in Indonesia
Modeling the effects of a log export ban in Indonesia
复制标题
模拟印度尼西亚原木出口禁令的影响
DOI：
10.1002/sdr.288
复制
发表时间：
2004
影响因子：
4.8
通讯作者：
R. Dudley
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
R. Dudley
由于在印度尼西亚执行林业法已变得极其困难，因此有人建议禁止原木出口，作为控制过度采伐和非法采伐的一种手段。原木出口禁令的模型可以帮助我们可视化其对林业部门的影响。该模型包括以下方面的简化概述：木材加工部门、需求-价格反馈循环、森林蓄积量和原木供应、原木采伐能力和原木出口。如果要适当考虑原木出口禁令的潜在成本和利益，报告审查了必须了解的重要反馈。尽管一些方案有助于将原木采伐量减少到可持续的水平，但其他方案则鼓励扩大国内小型铣削产能，从而增加原木采伐量。在原木出口禁令期间增加的过剩国内制粉能力即使在原木出口禁令解除后也可能继续运作。为了使原木出口禁令成为打击过度采伐和非法采伐的有效工具，还必须限制国内碾磨和伐木能力的可能增加。版权所有©2004 John Wiley & Sons， Ltd
Because enforcement of forestry law has become extremely difficult in Indonesia, a ban on export of logs has been suggested as a means of controlling over-harvest and illegal logging. A model of a log export ban can help us visualize its effects on the forestry sector. The model consists of simplified overviews of: the wood processing sector, demand—price feedback loops, forest standing stock and log availability, log harvest capacity, and log exports. It examines important feedbacks that must be understood if the potential costs and benefits of a log export ban are to be properly considered. Although some scenarios can help reduce log harvests to sustainable levels, others encourage expansion of small domestic milling capacity leading to increased log harvests. Excess domestic milling capacity added during a log export ban may continue to operate even after a log export ban is lifted. For a log export ban to be an effective tool in combating over-harvest and illegal harvest, limits must also be placed on possible increases in domestic milling and logging capacity. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd