The EU-Russia Gas Relationship: a mutual dependency
The EU-Russia Gas Relationship: a mutual dependency
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欧盟与俄罗斯天然气关系：相互依赖
DOI：
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Elena S. Paltseva
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
C. Coq;Elena S. Paltseva
目前关于欧盟能源安全的辩论往往强调欧盟对俄罗斯天然气进口的依赖。然而，俄罗斯对欧盟的依赖程度并不低--其一半以上的天然气出口到欧洲。本文的目的是通过基于指数的方法来描述这种相互依赖性，并讨论天然气市场的发展如何影响这种依赖性。我们建议一个统一的框架来评估欧盟的天然气供应安全和俄罗斯的天然气需求安全，并构建双方的依赖指数。我们的方法不仅考虑了传统的进出口依赖措施，还考虑了俄罗斯和欧盟之间的力量平衡。然后，所提出的方法来解决的演变，欧盟-俄罗斯天然气市场的发展，天然气关系。新的天然气管道项目（例如，南溪，纳布科）和液化天然气的使用增加都可能影响欧盟-俄罗斯天然气贸易的需求方和供应方，并影响欧盟和俄罗斯之间的相互天然气依赖。
Current debate on the energy security in the EU often stresses the EU dependency on gas imports from Russia. However, Russia is no less dependent on the EU – more than half of its gas exports goes to Europe. The purpose of this paper is to characterize this mutual dependency through an index-based approach, and to discuss how the development of gas markets may affect such dependency. We suggest a unified framework to assess the security of gas supply for the EU and the security of gas demand for Russia, and construct dependency indexes for both parties. Our approach accounts not only for the traditional import/export dependency measures but also for the balance of power between Russia and the EU. The proposed methodology is then used to address the evolution of the EU-Russia gas relationship in the view of gas market’s developments. New gas pipelines projects (e.g., South Stream, Nabucco) and increasing use of liquefied natural gas are all likely to impact both the demand side and the supply side of the EU-Russia gas trade, and affect mutual gas dependency between the EU and Russia.
评估天然气运输风险：俄罗斯与欧盟
影响因子：
9
作者：
Le Coq C
通讯作者：
Le Coq C