Estimations of Population Density for Selected Periods Between the Neolithic and AD 1800
Estimations of Population Density for Selected Periods Between the Neolithic and AD 1800
复制标题
新石器时代至公元 1800 年之间选定时期的人口密度估计
DOI：
10.3378/027.081.0313
复制
发表时间：
2009
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
K. P. Wendt
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
A. Zimmermann;Johanna Hilpert;K. P. Wendt
摘要：本文描述了利用考古数据获得可靠的人口密度估计的方法组合。这种组合是基于规模层次的分层模型。选择必要的数据和用于获得结果的方法，以便定义从一个尺度到另一个尺度的传递函数。我们将我们的方法应用于德国西部的数据集，这些数据集涵盖了早期新石器时代、铁器时代、罗马时代和墨洛温时代，以及公元1800年以来的历史数据。讨论了误差范围、自然变异性和历史变异性。我们对非国家社会的结果总是低于从文献中编译的传统估计，我们讨论了这一发现的原因。最后，我们将计算的本地和全球人口密度与世界不同地区的其他估计进行了比较。
Abstract We describe a combination of methods applied to obtain reliable estimations of population density using archaeological data. The combination is based on a hierarchical model of scale levels. The necessary data and methods used to obtain the results are chosen so as to define transfer functions from one scale level to another. We apply our method to data sets from western Germany that cover early Neolithic, Iron Age, Roman, and Merovingian times as well as historical data from AD 1800. Error margins and natural and historical variability are discussed. Our results for nonstate societies are always lower than conventional estimations compiled from the literature, and we discuss the reasons for this finding. At the end, we compare the calculated local and global population densities with other estimations from different parts of the world.