The global distribution of yellow fever and dengue.
The global distribution of yellow fever and dengue.
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DOI：
10.1016/s0065-308x(05)62006-4
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发表时间：
2006
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Graham, A. J.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Rogers, D. J.;Wilson, A. J.;Hay, S. I.;Graham, A. J.
几十年来，黄热病一直受到部分控制，但有迹象表明，全球病例数量正在增加，有爆发局部流行病的风险。在过去40年中，登革热病例数量也急剧增加，不同的血清型侵入了新的地理区域。尽管这些密切相关的疾病随时间发生变化，并对公共卫生产生巨大影响，但很少有人试图收集其空间和时间分布的综合数据集。在这次审查中，记录的发生这两种疾病在20世纪世纪已收集在一起，并用于确定其气候限制使用遥感卫星数据的判别分析模型框架内。由此产生的这两种疾病的风险图确定了它们不同的环境要求，并揭示了它们在非洲和东南亚共同发生的可能性。
Yellow fever has been subjected to partial control for decades, but there are signs that case numbers are now increasing globally, with the risk of local epidemic outbreaks. Dengue case numbers have also increased dramatically during the past 40 years and different serotypes have invaded new geographical areas. Despite the temporal changes in these closely related diseases, and their enormous public health impact, few attempts have been made to collect a comprehensive dataset of their spatial and temporal distributions. For this review, records of the occurrence of both diseases during the 20th century have been collected together and are used to define their climatic limits using remotely sensed satellite data within a discriminant analytical model framework. The resulting risk maps for these two diseases identify their different environmental requirements, and throw some light on their potential for co-occurrence in Africa and South East Asia.