Progress in the Implementation of Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS) in Europe for Operational Flood Forecasting
Progress in the Implementation of Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS) in Europe for Operational Flood Forecasting
复制标题
欧洲实施水文集合预报系统 (HEPS) 进行业务洪水预报的进展
DOI：
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发表时间：
2009
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
R. Buizza
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
H. Cloke;J. Thielen;F. Pappenberger;Sebastien Nobert;G. Bálint;Christina Edlund;Ari Koistinen;C. D. Saint;E. Sprokkereef;Christian Viel;P. Salamon;R. Buizza
ECMWF通讯第121期-2009年秋季HANNAHCLOKE，JUTTATHIELEN，FLORIANPAPPENBERGER，SEBASTIENNOBERT，GABORBALINT，CRISTINAEDLUND，ARIKOISTINEN，CELINEDESAINT-AUBIN，ERIKSPROKKEREEF，CHRISTIANVIEL，PETERSALAMON，ROBERTOBUIZZA在过去的十年中，业务洪水预报界越来越多地使用水文集成预报系统（HEPS）进行预报。过去十年的许多研究表明，基于HEPS的预报具有增值作用，并可延长预警时间。然而，尽管如此，目前全球只有少数洪水预报中心在业务上实施HEPS洪水预报系统（有关摘要，请参阅
ECMWF Newsletter No. 121 – Autumn 2009HANNAHCLOKE,JUTTATHIELEN,FLORIANPAPPENBERGER,SEBASTIENNOBERT,GABORBALINT,CRISTINAEDLUND,ARIKOISTINEN,CELINEDESAINT-AUBIN,ERIKSPROKKEREEF,CHRISTIANVIEL,PETERSALAMON,ROBERTOBUIZZATHE PAST decade has seen the operational flood forecast -ing community increasingly using Hydrological EnsemblePrediction Systems (HEPS) for their forecasts. Many researchstudies over the past decade have shown that HEPS-basedforecasts add value and can increase warning lead times.However, despite this, at present only a few flood forecast -ing centres around the world implement HEPS floodforecasting systems operationally (for a summary see