Simulating protection rackets: a case study of the Sicilian Mafia

Simulating protection rackets: a case study of the Sicilian Mafia
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模拟保护费:西西里黑手党的案例研究

DOI:
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发表时间:
2016
影响因子:
1.9
通讯作者:
K. G. Troitzsch
K. G. Troitzsch
中科院分区:
计算机科学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
L. G. Nardin;G. Andrighetto;R. Conte;Áron Székely;D. Anzola;C. Elsenbroich;U. Lotzmann;Martin Neumann;Valentina Punzo;K. G. Troitzsch

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勒索保护费的团伙势力强大,在地球仪的多个社会中根深蒂固,以多种方式危害其活动所在的社会和经济。这些原因使得它们的动力学对于理解非常重要,并且是科学和面向应用的兴趣的目标。法律的和社会规范为基础的方法可以说发挥了重要作用,影响保护球拍的动态。我们提出了一个基于代理的仿真模型,巴勒莫场景,以丰富我们对这些影响的理解,并测试不同的政策对保护球拍动态的影响。我们的模型集成了法律的和社会规范为基础的方法,并使用一个复杂的规范代理架构,使代理的行为和心理规范的代表性驱动行为的分析。我们展示了有用的模型和使用这个复杂的规范架构的好处,通过西西里黑手党的案例研究。
Protection racketeering groups are powerful, deeply entrenched in multiple societies across the globe, and they harm the societies and economies in which they operate in multiple ways. These reasons make their dynamics important to understand and an objective of both scientific and application-oriented interest. Legal and social norm-based approaches arguably play significant roles in influencing protection racket dynamics. We propose an agent-based simulation model, the Palermo Scenario, to enrich our understanding of these influences and to test the effect of different policies on protection racket dynamics. Our model integrates the legal and the social norm-based approaches and uses a complex normative agent architecture that enables the analysis of both agents’ behaviours and mental normative representations driving behaviour. We demonstrate the usefulness of the model and the benefits of using this complex normative architecture through a case study of the Sicilian Mafia.