Putin versus the Turnout? Mapping the Kremlin's 2018 Presidential Election Support
Putin versus the Turnout? Mapping the Kremlin's 2018 Presidential Election Support
复制标题
普京与投票率？
DOI：
10.1163/2451-8921-00303002
复制
发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
0.8
通讯作者：
Hutcheson D
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hutcheson D
2018年俄罗斯总统选举实际上不是弗拉基米尔普京和选票上其他七名候选人之间的竞争，而是普京和选举投票率之间的竞争。如果投票率低于相当高的多数，普京再连任六年的合法性就会受到破坏。普京实现了他的目标。在本文中，我们审查的背景，选举和运动的行为，并分析结果。普京的成功可以追溯到，第一，各地区长期存在的投票率差异模式，第二，选举当局的行政举措，使人们对选举过程的完整性重新产生了信心。虽然有证据表明，那些希望抗议普京的人破坏了他们的选票，但影响不大。
The 2018 Russian presidential election was effectively a contest not between Vladimir Putin and the other seven candidates on the ballot paper, but between Putin and the level of election turnout. Anything less than a large majority based on a respectable level of turnout would have undermined Putin’s legitimacy to serve for a further six-year term. In the event, Putin achieved his goal. In this paper we examine the background to the election and the conduct of the campaign, and analyse the result. Putin’s success can be traced to, first, long-standing patterns of differential turnout across the regions and, second, administrative initiatives by the election authorities which created a renewed confidence in the integrity of the election process. While there is evidence that those wishing to protest against Putin spoiled their votes, the impact of this was minor.