The Effect(s) of Teen Pregnancy: Reconciling Theory, Methods, and Findings
The Effect(s) of Teen Pregnancy: Reconciling Theory, Methods, and Findings
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DOI：
10.1007/s13524-015-0446-6
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发表时间：
2016-02-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Fiel, Jeremy E.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Diaz, Christina J.;Fiel, Jeremy E.
虽然少女妈妈的受教育程度和收入低于推迟生育的女性，但对这种关系的因果解释仍然存在争议。学者们认为，预测负面、微不足道甚至是积极的影响是有原因的，不同的方法方法为每种观点提供了一些支持。我们利用两种启发法来调和这一正在进行的辩论：(1)每种方法策略在估计过程中强调不同的女性，(2)青少年生育率的影响可能在人口中有所不同。对全国青年纵向调查（N = 3,661）的儿童和青年队列的分析证实，少女怀孕对大多数女性的成就和收入有负面影响。然而，更引人注目的是，对大学毕业率和早期收入的影响差异很大，在那些最不可能早孕的人身上表现得最为明显。进一步的分析表明，少女怀孕对那些拥有最光明的社会经济前景和最不准备转变为母亲的人尤其有害。
Although teenage mothers have lower educational attainment and earnings than women who delay fertility, causal interpretations of this relationship remain controversial. Scholars argue that there are reasons to predict negative, trivial, or even positive effects, and different methodological approaches provide some support for each perspective. We reconcile this ongoing debate by drawing on two heuristics: (1) each methodological strategy emphasizes different women in estimation procedures, and (2) the effects of teenage fertility likely vary in the population. Analyses of the Child and Young Adult Cohorts of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (N = 3,661) confirm that teen pregnancy has negative effects on most women's attainment and earnings. More striking, however, is that effects on college completion and early earnings vary considerably and are most pronounced among those least likely to experience an early pregnancy. Further analyses suggest that teen pregnancy is particularly harmful for those with the brightest socioeconomic prospects and who are least prepared for the transition to motherhood.