Chapter 7, Future Changes of Extreme Weather and Natural Disasters due to Climate Change in Japan and Southeast Asia
Chapter 7, Future Changes of Extreme Weather and Natural Disasters due to Climate Change in Japan and Southeast Asia
复制标题
第七章 日本和东南亚气候变化导致的极端天气和自然灾害的未来变化
DOI：
10.1142/9789813235663_0007
复制
发表时间：
2017
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Tanaka Kenji
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Nakakita Eiichi;Tachikawa Yasuto;Takemi Tetsuya;Mori Nobuhito;Tanaka Kenji
气候变化对自然灾害的发生有重大影响。然而，气候变化对恶劣天气、灾害和水资源的区域影响评估仍然受到以下因素的限制：全球/大气环流模式分辨率较低，区域缩小尺度的应用有限，影响评估模型很少。本章根据气专委第五次评估报告以来的最新气候预测和开发的影响评估模型，总结了日本和东南亚地区目前的气候变化影响评估活动。本章主要介绍日本和东南亚地区未来强降水、河流洪涝、沿海洪涝和水资源的变化。
Climate change significantly impacts on the occurrence of natural disasters. However, regional impact assessment of climate change on severe weathers, hazards, and water resources is still limited by coarse resolution of global/general circulation models, limited applications of regional downscaling, and few impact assessment models. This chapter summarizes current activity of impact assessment of climate change around Japan and Southeast Asia based on the latest climate projection since the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report and on developed impact assessment models. This chapter mainly covers the future changes of heavy precipitation, river flooding, coastal flooding, and water resources around Japan and Southeast Asia.