Has China passed the Lewis turning point? A structural estimation based on provincial data
Has China passed the Lewis turning point? A structural estimation based on provincial data
复制标题
DOI：
10.1080/17538963.2010.511908
复制
发表时间：
2010-09
影响因子：
3.3
通讯作者：
Yang Yao;Ke Zhang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Yang Yao;Ke Zhang
本文利用1998-2007年的省际数据，在明确考虑供给函数中的刘易斯转折点（LTP）的结构框架下，估计了中国一个典型省份的农民工供给函数和需求函数。将研究结果外推到全国水平，并对各年的转折点和均衡水平进行了估计。这两种估计的比较表明，中国尚未越过刘易斯转折点。
Using provincial data for the period 1998–2007, this paper estimates the supply and demand functions of migrant workers in each year for a typical Chinese province in a structural framework that explicitly takes into account the Lewis turning point (LTP) in the supply function. The results are extrapolated to the national level and the turning point and the equilibrium level of migrant employment are both estimated for each year. The comparison of those two estimates shows that China has not passed the Lewis turning point.