Monarchies and Republics, State and Regime, Durability and Fragility in View of the Arab Spring
Monarchies and Republics, State and Regime, Durability and Fragility in View of the Arab Spring
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阿拉伯之春下的君主制与共和国、国家与政权、持久性与脆弱性
DOI：
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发表时间：
2014
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Thomas Demmelhuber
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
C. Derichs;Thomas Demmelhuber
在试图确定自2011年“阿拉伯之春”以来君主制和共和制所遵循的不同轨迹时，分析人士和学者一致认为，尽管关于分析政体类型之间的这种不平衡是否有助于理解和解释这些不同轨迹的争论仍在继续，但差距已经打开。考察海湾君主制国家可以得出以下论点：（1）君主制与共和制的问题对于分析阿拉伯之春背景下的中东政治非常重要;（2）国家作为参照系对于理解政治变革的本质非常重要。在这里，我们的分析方法，海湾君主制的持久性纳入了社会秩序的概念和前国家模式的影响。在分析框架中，“国家”和“政权”都是必要的，因为在这一具体情况下，它们是不同的类别，但却是同一枚硬币的两面。因此，国家合法性等于政权合法性。
Abstract In trying to ascertain the different trajectories followed by monarchies and republics since the “Arab Spring” in 2011, analysts and academics concur that a gap has opened, despite continuing debates as to whether analysing this imbalance between types of polity can help in understanding and explaining these diverse trajectories. Examining the Gulf monarchies produces the following arguments: (1) the monarchy versus republic issue is important for analysing Middle East politics in light of the Arab Spring and (2) the state as a frame of reference is important for understanding the nature of political change. Here, our analytical approach to the durability of the Gulf monarchies incorporates the concept of social order and the impact of pre-state patterns. Both “state” and “regime” are needed in the analytical framework, since, in this specific case, they are different categories, yet two sides of the same coin. Thus, state legitimacy equals regime legitimacy.