Neuroforecasting Aggregate Choice.

Neuroforecasting Aggregate Choice.
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DOI:
10.1177/0963721417737877
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发表时间:
2018-04
影响因子:
7.2
通讯作者:
Genevsky A
Genevsky A
中科院分区:
心理学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Knutson B;Genevsky A

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脑成像设计和分析的进步使研究人员能够利用神经活动来预测个人的选择,而新兴的互联网市场为预测总体选择开辟了新的机会。在这里,我们回顾了新出现的研究,这些研究试图通过使用群体神经活动来预测聚合选择,从而连接这些分析水平。一项对初步发现的调查表明,群体神经活动的组成部分可能会预测总体选择,在某些情况下,甚至超出了传统的行为衡量标准。除了证明神经预测的似是而非之外,这些发现还提出了一种可能性,即并非所有预测个人选择的神经过程对总体选择的预测程度都相同。我们认为,尽管综合选择成分可能会在个体内部提供更多的一致性,但情感选择成分可能会更广泛地在个体之间推广,以预测总体选择。
Advances in brain-imaging design and analysis have allowed investigators to use neural activity to predict individual choice, while emerging Internet markets have opened up new opportunities for forecasting aggregate choice. Here, we review emerging research that bridges these levels of analysis by attempting to use group neural activity to forecast aggregate choice. A survey of initial findings suggests that components of group neural activity might forecast aggregate choice, in some cases even beyond traditional behavioral measures. In addition to demonstrating the plausibility of neuroforecasting, these findings raise the possibility that not all neural processes that predict individual choice forecast aggregate choice to the same degree. We propose that although integrative choice components may confer more consistency within individuals, affective choice components may generalize more broadly across individuals to forecast aggregate choice.
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