The Brexit vote: a divided nation, a divided continent

The Brexit vote: a divided nation, a divided continent
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DOI:
10.1080/13501763.2016.1225785
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发表时间:
2016-10-01
影响因子:
4.2
通讯作者:
Hobolt, Sara B.
Hobolt, Sara B.
中科院分区:
管理学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hobolt, Sara B.

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英国关于欧盟成员国身份的公投结果在整个欧洲引起了冲击波。尽管在欧洲怀疑论的力量方面,英国是一个局外人,但在整个欧洲,导致公投结果的反移民和反建制情绪正在增强。本文通过对竞选和调查数据的分析,表明全球化的赢家和输家之间的分歧是投票的关键驱动因素。在受教育程度较低、较贫穷和年龄较大的选民中,以及那些表达了对移民和多元文化主义的担忧的选民中,支持英国退出欧盟的人尤其普遍。尽管没有证据表明短期内会在其他国家举行类似的成员国身份公投,但英国退欧公投对整个欧洲的政治体制构成了严峻的挑战。
The outcome of the British referendum on European Union (EU) membership sent shockwaves through Europe. While Britain is an outlier when it comes to the strength of Euroscepticism, the anti-immigration and anti-establishment sentiments that produced the referendum outcome are gaining strength across Europe. Analysing campaign and survey data, this article shows that the divide between winners and losers of globalization was a key driver of the vote. Favouring British EU exit, or Brexit', was particularly common among less-educated, poorer and older voters, and those who expressed concerns about immigration and multi-culturalism. While there is no evidence of a short-term contagion effect with similar membership referendums in other countries, the Brexit vote nonetheless poses a serious challenge to the political establishment across Europe.