REVISITING THE EVALUATION OF ROBUST REGRESSION TECHNIQUES FOR CROP YIELD DATA DETRENDING

REVISITING THE EVALUATION OF ROBUST REGRESSION TECHNIQUES FOR CROP YIELD DATA DETRENDING
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DOI:
10.1093/ajae/aap021
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发表时间:
2010-01-01
影响因子:
4.2
通讯作者:
Finger, Robert
Finger, Robert
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Finger, Robert

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通过蒙特卡罗实验,比较了普通最小二乘(OLS)和mm估计(一种鲁棒回归技术)在作物产量去趋势分析中的应用。假设作物产量分布对称和偏斜,我们表明mm估计器在未污染的作物产量数据时间序列上的表现与OLS相似,并且明显优于OLS在异常值污染样本上的表现。与早期的研究相比,我们的分析表明,应该重新考虑稳健回归技术,如mm估计器,以消除作物产量数据的趋势。
Using a Monte Carlo experiment, the performance of the ordinary least squares (OLS) and the MM-estimator, a robust regression technique, is compared in an application of crop yield detrending. Assuming symmetric as well as skewed crop yield distributions, we show that the MM-estimator performs similarly to OLS for uncontaminated time series of crop yield data, and clearly outperforms OLS for outlier-contaminated samples. In contrast to earlier studies, our analysis suggests that robust regression techniques, such as the MM-estimator, should be reconsidered for detrending crop yield data.