Exploring, exploiting and evolving diversity of aquatic ecosystem models: a community perspective

Exploring, exploiting and evolving diversity of aquatic ecosystem models: a community perspective
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DOI:
10.1007/s10452-015-9544-1
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发表时间:
2015-12-01
期刊:
影响因子:
1.8
通讯作者:
Mooij, Wolf M.
Mooij, Wolf M.
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Janssen, Annette B. G.;Arhonditsis, George B.;Mooij, Wolf M.

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在这里,我们就如何探索、开发和进化水生生态系统模型中的多样性提出了一个社区的观点。这些模型在了解水生生态系统的功能、填补观测空白和制定有效的水质管理战略方面发挥了重要作用。本着这种精神,自20世纪70年代以来,已经开发了许多车型。我们着手探索模型的多样性,通过对42个水生生态系统模型师进行清点,对所得到的一组模型进行分类,并对它们进行多样性分析。然后,我们将重点放在如何通过比较和组合现有模型的不同方面来利用模型多样性。最后,我们讨论了模式多样性在过去是如何产生的,以及在未来如何演变的。在整个研究过程中,我们使用生物多样性研究中的类比来分析和解释模型多样性。我们建议通过开放源码政策公开提供模型,使模型的文档和技术实施标准化,并通过整体建模和跨学科方法比较模型。最后,我们展望了水生生态系统模型领域在未来5-10年内的发展。为了使非建模人员更清晰并提高可读性,我们提供了一个词汇表。
Here, we present a community perspective on how to explore, exploit and evolve the diversity in aquatic ecosystem models. These models play an important role in understanding the functioning of aquatic ecosystems, filling in observation gaps and developing effective strategies for water quality management. In this spirit, numerous models have been developed since the 1970s. We set off to explore model diversity by making an inventory among 42 aquatic ecosystem modellers, by categorizing the resulting set of models and by analysing them for diversity. We then focus on how to exploit model diversity by comparing and combining different aspects of existing models. Finally, we discuss how model diversity came about in the past and could evolve in the future. Throughout our study, we use analogies from biodiversity research to analyse and interpret model diversity. We recommend to make models publicly available through open-source policies, to standardize documentation and technical implementation of models, and to compare models through ensemble modelling and interdisciplinary approaches. We end with our perspective on how the field of aquatic ecosystem modelling might develop in the next 5-10 years. To strive for clarity and to improve readability for non-modellers, we include a glossary.