Industrialization and De-industrialization in Indonesia 1983-2008: a Kaldorian Approach
Industrialization and De-industrialization in Indonesia 1983-2008: a Kaldorian Approach
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1983-2008 年印度尼西亚的工业化和去工业化：卡尔多方法
DOI：
10.22146/jieb.6292
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发表时间：
2010
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
D. A. Dewi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
D. Priyarsono;T. Lestari;D. A. Dewi
长期以来，经济学家一直在讨论经济增长的原因及其背后的机制。卡尔多认为，发达经济体具有与发展中国家非常相似的双重性质，其一是生产率低、劳动力过剩的农业部门，其二是技术变化迅速、回报不断增加的资本密集型工业部门。劳动力资源从农业部门向工业部门的转移取决于后者对劳动力的衍生需求的增长。在此背景下，本研究试图表明印尼经济表明工业化和去工业化进程的时期。它还试图确定经济是否经历了积极的去工业化（即，表现出经济成熟的迹象，服务部门取代工业部门作为增长引擎的作用）或消极的去工业化（即，表现出经济停滞的迹象，工业部门不能迅速增长到足以吸收农业部门的剩余劳动力）。最后，本研究试图分析可能导致去工业化进程的几个因素。关键词：工业化，去工业化，经济增长
Economists have for a long time discussed the causes of economic growth and the mechanisms behind it. Kaldor viewed advanced economies as having a dual nature very similar to that of developing countries, with an agricultural sector with low productivity and surplus labour, and a capital intensive industrial sector characterized by rapid technical change and increasing returns. The transfer of labour resources from the agricultural sector to the industrial sector depends on the growth of the latter’s derived demand for labour. With this background this study attempts to show the periods when the Indonesian economy indicated the processes of industrialization and deindustrialization. It also attempts to identify whether the economy experienced positive deindustrialization (i.e., showed signs of economic maturity where service sector substituted the role of industrial sector as the engine of growth) or negative deindustrialization (i.e., showed signs of economic stagnancy where industrial sector could not grow rapidly enough to absorb surplus labour from agricultural sector). Lastly, this study attemps to analyze several factors that might be responsible for the process of the deindustrialization. Keywords: industrialization, deindustrialization, economic growth