Representing ecological processes in agent-based models of land use and cover change

Representing ecological processes in agent-based models of land use and cover change
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在基于主体的土地利用和覆盖变化模型中表示生态过程

DOI:
10.1080/1747423x.2011.640357
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发表时间:
2013
影响因子:
3.2
通讯作者:
P. Deadman
P. Deadman
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
K. Luus;D. Robinson;P. Deadman

文献摘要

被引文献

相似文献

基于主体的土地利用/土地覆盖变化模型(ABMs/LUCC)传统上将土地利用/土地覆盖变化描述为由社会、经济和人口条件引起的,而空间生态模型则倾向于模拟空间聚集的人类决策对环境的影响。将生态系统过程的动态表示纳入ABM/LUCC中,可以获得新的或反直觉的见解,了解为什么会出现某些路径相关的结果,并且还可以在空间上限制模型过程,从而提高模型输出与观测数据的空间拟合度。因此,提供了一个框架,以帮助确定一个最佳的方法来代表生态过程中的ABM/LUCC根据研究问题和所需的应用模型。相关的挑战,限制了复杂的,动态的生态系统过程的表示到ABMs/LUCC的整合,然后进行评估,从最近的例子提供的解决方案。ABMs/LUCC使用的生态过程的动态表示,可以应用于调查复杂的,长期的人-自然耦合系统的各种气候变化和生态干扰的响应。
Agent-based models of land use and cover change (ABMs/LUCC) have traditionally represented land-use and land-cover changes as arising from social, economic and demographic conditions, while spatial ecological models have tended to simulate the environmental impacts of spatially aggregated human decisions. Incorporating a dynamic representation of ecosystem processes into ABMs/LUCC can enable new or counter-intuitive insights to be gained into why certain path-dependent outcomes arise and can also spatially constrain model processes, thereby improving the spatial fit of model output against observational data. A framework is therefore provided to assist in determining an optimal approach for representing ecological processes in an ABM/LUCC according to the research question and desired application of the model. Relevant challenges limiting the integration of complex, dynamic representations of ecosystem processes into ABMs/LUCC are then assessed, with solutions provided from recent examples. ABMs/LUCC that use a dynamic representation of ecological processes may be applied to investigate the complex, long-term responses of the coupled human–natural system to a variety of climatic shifts and ecological disturbances.