Improving the practical application of the Delphi method in group-based judgment: A six-step prescription for a well-founded and defensible process
Improving the practical application of the Delphi method in group-based judgment: A six-step prescription for a well-founded and defensible process
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DOI：
10.1016/j.techfore.2019.07.002
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发表时间：
2019-10-01
影响因子：
12
通讯作者：
Hamlin, Iain
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Belton, Ian;MacDonald, Alice;Hamlin, Iain
本文提供了一个实用的，系统的方法来设计和交付的德尔菲调查。我们规定了一个序列的六个步骤做（一）建立德尔菲过程-包括选择受访者和产生必要数量的焦点问题，（二）软件/交付的选择，（三）开发问题项和响应量表，（四）提供反馈之间的必要数量的德尔菲轮，（五）防止和处理小组成员退出，（六）分析和介绍德尔菲收益。在每一步中，德尔菲管理员都有一系列的选择，我们提供了每个选项的利弊讨论-以便整体设计和交付一个特定的德尔菲调查是有根据的和辩护。
This paper provides a practical, systematic approach to the design and delivery of a Delphi survey. We prescribe a sequence of six steps to do with (i) setting up the Delphi process - including selecting respondents and generating a requisite number of focal issues, (ii) software/delivery choice, (iii) developing question items and response scales, (iv) providing feedback between a requisite number of Delphi rounds, (v) preventing and dealing with panellist drop out, and (vi) analysing and presenting the Delphi yield. At each step, the Delphi administrator has a range of choice options and we provide discussion of the pros and cons of each option - in order that the overall design and delivery of a particular Delphi survey is both well-founded and defensible.