Climate change and farmers’ perceptions: impact on rubber farming in the upper Mekong region
Climate change and farmers’ perceptions: impact on rubber farming in the upper Mekong region
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DOI：
10.1007/s10584-020-02876-2
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发表时间：
2020-10
期刊：
影响因子：
4.8
通讯作者：
S. Min;Xiaobing Wang;Shaoze Jin;H. Waibel;Jikun Huang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Min;Xiaobing Wang;Shaoze Jin;H. Waibel;Jikun Huang
本文研究了农民对温度变化的看法对橡胶园实施环境友好型农业措施的影响。基于湄公河上游西双版纳傣族自治州611个胶农的调查数据，采用内生转换概率单位模型和内生处理效应模型，以间作系统为代表，研究了胶农对温度变化的感知对实施环境友好型橡胶园的影响。虽然XSBN的真实的年平均温度一直在上升，但只有59%的受访者认为有上升趋势，而超过38%的受访者认为没有变化。农民对温度变化的看法似乎取决于他们的教育和社会经济特点以及与区域气候变化有关的冲击经历。提高农民对温度升高的认识可以显著促进他们的EFRP实践。因此，提高对区域气候变化认识的政策可以有效地鼓励实施缓解措施。
This article examines the impact of farmers’ perceptions of temperature change on implementing environmentally friendly agriculture practices on rubber plantations. Based on the data collected from 611 smallholder rubber farmers in Xishuangbanna Dai Autonomous Prefecture (XSBN) in the upper Mekong region, an endogenous switching probit model and an endogenous treatment effects model are applied to estimate the impacts of farmers’ perceptions of temperature change on implementing environmentally friendly rubber plantations (EFRP) proxied by the intercropping system. While the real annual average temperature in XSBN has been increasing, only 59% of respondents perceived an increasing trend, whereas over 38% perceived no change. Farmers’ perceptions of temperature change appear to hinge on their education and socioeconomic characteristics and the experience of shocks related to regional climate change. Improving farmers’ perceptions of increasing temperature can significantly foster their practice of EFRP. Hence, policies that promote awareness of regional climate change can effectively encourage the implementation of mitigation practices.