Calibrated Forecasts: The Minimax Proof
Calibrated Forecasts: The Minimax Proof
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校准预测:极小极大证明
DOI:
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发表时间:
2022
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通讯作者:
S. Hart
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作者:
S. Hart
A formal write-up of the simple proof (1995) of the existence of calibrated forecasts by the minimax theorem, which moreover shows that $N^3$ periods suffice to guarantee a calibration error of at most $1/N$.