An earthquake disaster management mechanism based on risk assessment information for the tourism industry-a case study from the island of Taiwan
An earthquake disaster management mechanism based on risk assessment information for the tourism industry-a case study from the island of Taiwan
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DOI：
10.1016/j.tourman.2009.05.008
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发表时间：
2010-08
影响因子：
12.7
通讯作者：
Chung-Hung Tsai;Cheng-Wu Chen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Chung-Hung Tsai;Cheng-Wu Chen
虽然台湾在评估风险方面取得了进展，但仍有必要对台湾旅游业进行风险评估。虽然保险业通常采用的评估损失的传统经验法则在一般情况下可能是足够的，但对于很少有参考资料的罕见事故来说，这并不可行。一个例子是地震破坏。台湾大地震发生的平均周期约为百年，因此无法精确评估平均损失。此外，地震不像一些灾害（如台风或流行病），人们可以收到预警。因此，本研究旨在提供一套实用的地震灾害风险评估与管理机制，以保险与预防为重点。主要目标是将有关地球科学、工程和保险数据与灾害风险管理概念结合起来，同时考虑到与地震有关的风险的特点和来源。总之，我们发展了一个地震灾害评估模型，应用于旅游业的风险管理。以地震频发的台湾花莲地区酒店业为例，验证了该模型的实用性。结果清楚地表明，拟议的灾害评估模型的旅游业的有效性。
Although progress has been made in assessing risks in Taiwan, there remains a need to undertake risk assessment for the Taiwanese tourism industry. Although the conventional rules of thumb usually adopted by the insurance industry for damage assessment may be adequate in normal circumstances, this is not feasible for rare incidents for which there is very little reference material. One such example is earthquake damage. The average period of occurrence of major earthquake in Taiwan is about a hundred years, which makes it impossible to precisely assess average losses. In addition, earthquakes are not like some disasters (such as typhoons or epidemics) for which one can receive early warning. Thus, in this study, we seek to provide a practical mechanism for earthquake disaster risk assessment and management for the tourism industry, focusing on insurance and prevention. The primary objective is to integrate the relevant earth sciences, engineering and insurance data with the concepts of disaster risk management, taking into consideration the characteristics and sources of earthquake-related risks. In short, we develop an earthquake disaster assessment model to apply to risk management in the tourism industry. The practicality of the model is demonstrated with some examples related to the hotel industry in Hualien, Taiwan, an area plagued by frequent earthquakes. The results clearly show the efficacy of the proposed disaster assessment models for the tourism industry.