Progress on incorporating climate change into management of California's water resources

Progress on incorporating climate change into management of California's water resources
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DOI:
10.1007/s10584-007-9353-1
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发表时间:
2008-03-01
期刊:
影响因子:
4.8
通讯作者:
Snyder, Richard
Snyder, Richard
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Anderson, Jamie;Chung, Francis;Snyder, Richard

文献摘要

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本文介绍了管理加州水资源的机构将气候变化研究纳入其规划和管理工具的初步努力。预计气温的上升可能导致降水模式、径流时间和径流量的变化、海平面上升,以及由于蒸发蒸腾速率的改变而导致所需灌溉水量的变化。显示了与加州水资源相关的气候变化的历史观察结果。气候变化对国家水利工程和中央谷工程运行、三角洲水质和水位、洪水预报和蒸散率的潜在影响的初步模拟研究结果。未来的方向,将风险评估进行了讨论。
This paper presents preliminary efforts by agencies managing California's water resources to incorporate climate change research into their planning and management tools. Projected increases in air temperature may lead to changes in the precipitation patterns, runoff timing and volume, sea level rise, and changes in the amount of irrigation water needed due to modified evapotranspiration rates. Historical observations of climate change related to California's water resources are shown. Results from preliminary modeling studies of potential impacts of climate change to operations of the State Water Project and Central Valley Project, Delta water quality and water levels, flood forecasting and evapotranspiration rates are presented. Future directions to incorporate risk assessment are discussed.