Weather shocks, climate change and human health

Weather shocks, climate change and human health
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DOI:
10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105228
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发表时间:
2021-02-01
期刊:
影响因子:
6.9
通讯作者:
Meierrieks, Daniel
Meierrieks, Daniel
中科院分区:
经济学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Meierrieks, Daniel

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我们研究了1960年至2016年间170个国家的短期天气冲击和长期气候变化对各种国民健康结果的影响。我们发现,从短期和长期来看,气候条件的变化——特别是以温度升高的形式——会导致健康损失(例如,婴儿死亡率上升和预期寿命降低)。气温上升的不利影响在相对贫穷的国家更为强烈,这表明这些国家更容易受到影响。由于天气冲击和气候变化,贫穷国家预计将遭受巨大的健康损失。除非采取适当的适应和缓解措施,否则未来的健康损失,特别是欠发达国家的健康损失也可能相当大。(C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd.版权所有。
We examine the effect of short-run weather shocks and long-run climate change on a variety of national health outcomes for a sample of 170 countries between 1960 and 2016. We find that changing climate conditions - especially in the form of increasing temperatures - lead to health losses (e.g., increased infant mortality and lower life expectancy) both in the short and long run. The adverse effect of increasing temperatures is much more strongly felt in relatively poor countries, indicating that these countries are more vulnerable. Predicted health losses in poor countries due to weather shocks and climate change have already been substantial. Future health losses especially in less developed countries will likely also be considerable unless adequate adaptation and mitigation efforts are undertaken. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.