Capturing trends in Canadian divorce in an era without vital statistics

Capturing trends in Canadian divorce in an era without vital statistics
复制标题

在没有生命统计数据的时代捕捉加拿大离婚趋势

DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2019
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Michael Haan
Michael Haan
中科院分区：
--
文献类型：
--
作者：
R. Margolis;Youjin Choi;F. Hou;Michael Haan

文献摘要

被引文献

相似文献

背景 加拿大统计局于 2008 年停止发布有关结婚和离婚的重要统计数据，从而在这些重要的人口指标方面留下了知识空白。目的 本文的方法论贡献是研究如何利用税务数据最好地实施离婚，并提出了加拿大离婚最新趋势的实质性贡献。方法 我们使用生命统计数据和行政税务数据来研究离婚趋势，并在可用数据期间（截至 2008 年）对它们进行比较。然后，利用行政税务数据，我们更新了 2016 年的离婚趋势。我们研究了离婚的总体趋势、特定年龄趋势和年龄标准化趋势。结果 我们记录了从 1990 年代到 2008 年的“灰色离婚”，然后到 2016 年，老年人的离婚率持平，而年轻人的离婚率持续下降。结论 税收数据显示，加拿大近期离婚趋势有所下降。然而，利用税务数据估算离婚率存在重要局限性。我们讨论数据差距，并就更准确地衡量工会解散的指标提出建议。通讯作者1.加拿大西安大略大学社会学系副教授。 rachel.margolis@uwo.ca。 2 加拿大西安大略大学社会学系。 3 加拿大统计局社会分析和建模司，加拿大。 Margolis 等人：在没有人口动态统计的时代捕捉加拿大离婚趋势 1454 http://www.demographic-research.org 贡献 离婚对于人口统计学家的良好衡量非常重要，本文仔细研究了最近的趋势，并批判性地评估了行政数据填补因人口动态统计终止而留下的空白的能力。
BACKGROUND Statistics Canada ceased publishing vital statistics on marriage and divorce in 2008, leaving a knowledge gap in these important demographic indicators. OBJECTIVE This paper makes the methodological contribution of examining how best to operationalize divorce with tax data, and the substantive contribution of presenting recent trends in divorce in Canada. METHODS We examine trends in divorce using both vital statistics and administrative tax data and compare them during the period for which they are available (through 2008). Then, using administrative tax data, we update trends in divorce through 2016. We examine overall, age-specific, and age-standardized trends in divorce. RESULTS We document “gray divorce” from the 1990s through 2008 and then flat divorce rates for older adults and a continued decline in divorce for younger adults through 2016. CONCLUSIONS Tax data show a recent decline in divorce trends in Canada. However, there are important limitations to estimating divorce with tax data. We discuss data gaps and make suggestions for more accurate measures of union dissolution. 1 Corresponding author. Associate Professor, Department of Sociology, University of Western Ontario, Canada. rachel.margolis@uwo.ca. 2 Department of Sociology, University of Western Ontario, Canada. 3 Social Analysis and Modeling Division, Statistics Canada, Canada. Margolis et al.: Capturing trends in Canadian divorce in an era without vital statistics 1454 http://www.demographic-research.org CONTRIBUTION Divorce is important for demographers to measure well, and this paper carefully examines recent trends and critically evaluates administrative data’s ability to fill the void left by the termination of vital statistics.