Use of the RAINS model in acid rain negotiations in Europe
Use of the RAINS model in acid rain negotiations in Europe
复制标题
RAINS模型在欧洲酸雨谈判中的应用
DOI：
10.1021/es00016a002
复制
发表时间：
1991
影响因子：
11.4
通讯作者：
L. Hordijk
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
L. Hordijk
最近的一个趋势是，在关于环境问题的国际谈判中使用不能采取强制行动的模式。在过去，达成国际协议时没有使用任何模式。例如，1985年，欧洲和北美在减少酸雨方面迈出了第一步，但没有使用综合模型。《保护臭氧层维也纳公约》（1986年）的制定也没有采用这一模式。分析在环境谈判中使用数学模型的原因不是本文的主题。我只想说，最近有几个例子说明在准备国际政策行动时使用的模式，例如海洋法和政府间气候变化专门委员会。接受模型作为谈判工具取决于许多因素。分析了欧洲和北美在酸雨评估中对使用模式的态度的差异。在本文中，作者回顾了目前使用的RAINS模型，并指出了一些经验教训，可用于国际环境谈判的模型的发展。
The use of models in international negotiations on environmental problems for which no compulsory action can be imposed is a recent trend. In the past, international agreements have been reached without any model being used. For example, the first step in reducing acid rain in Europe and North America was made in 1985 without using an integrated model. Neither was a model used to establish the Vienna Convention on Protection of the Ozone Layer (1986). Analyzing the reasons for using mathematical models in environmental negotiations is not the subject of this paper. Suffice it to say there are several recent examples of models being used in preparing international policy actions, for instance the Law of the Sea and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The acceptance of models as tools in negotiations depends on many factors. The differences in the attitudes toward use of models in the case of assessment of acid rain in Europe and North America have been analyzed. In this paper, the author reviews the current use of the RAINS model and points out some lessons for the development of models that could be used in international environmental negotiations.