Estimating the costs of school closure for mitigating an influenza pandemic.

Estimating the costs of school closure for mitigating an influenza pandemic.
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估计减轻流感大流行的学校关闭费用。

DOI:
10.1186/1471-2458-8-135
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发表时间:
2008-04-24
期刊:
影响因子:
4.5
通讯作者:
Edmunds WJ
Edmunds WJ
中科院分区:
医学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Sadique MZ;Adams EJ;Edmunds WJ

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关闭学校是许多国家减轻流感大流行影响计划的一个关键组成部分。虽然一些研究表明,这种政策可能会减少发病率,但没有发表关于这种政策成本的研究。这项研究试图填补这一知识空白学校关闭预计将导致显着的工作缺勤的父母谁可能是主要照顾他们的受抚养子女在家里。因学校关闭而造成的旷课费用按学校关闭期间父母旷课的有偿生产力损失计算。费用是从社会角度利用全国代表性调查估算的。结果显示,总体而言,约16%的劳动力可能是受抚养子女的主要照顾者,因此可能会缺勤。在卫生和社会保健部门,这一比例上升到30%,因为劳动力中有很大一部分是妇女。学校关闭的估计成本很高,每周2亿至12亿英镑。关闭学校可能会因工作人员缺勤而大大加剧卫生系统的压力。对学校关闭相关缺勤率和预计费用的估计将有助于为业务连续性进行大流行病规划,并有助于对不同的大流行性流感缓解战略进行成本效益评估。
School closure is a key component of many countries' plans to mitigate the effect of an influenza pandemic. Although a number of studies have suggested that such a policy might reduce the incidence, there are no published studies of the cost of such policies. This study attempts to fill this knowledge gap School closure is expected to lead to significant work absenteeism of working parents who are likely to be the main care givers to their dependent children at home. The cost of absenteeism due to school closure is calculated as the paid productivity loss of parental absenteeism during the period of school closure. The cost is estimated from societal perspective using a nationally representative survey. The results show that overall about 16% of the workforce is likely to be the main caregiver for dependent children and therefore likely to take absenteeism. This rises to 30% in the health and social care sector, as a large proportion of the workforce are women. The estimated costs of school closure are significant, at £0.2 bn – £1.2 bn per week. School closure is likely to significantly exacerbate the pressures on the health system through staff absenteeism. The estimates of school closure associated absenteeism and the projected cost would be useful for pandemic planning for business continuity, and for cost effectiveness evaluation of different pandemic influenza mitigation strategies.
DOI: 10.1016/0167-6296(94)00044-5
发表时间: 1995-06-01
影响因子: 3.5
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发表时间: 2007-08-15
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影响因子: 4.5
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DOI: 10.1038/nature04017
发表时间: 2005-09-08
期刊: NATURE
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作者:
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