Estimating a marriage matching model with spillover effects
Estimating a marriage matching model with spillover effects
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DOI：
10.1353/dem.2006.0023
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发表时间：
2006-08-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Siow, Aloysius
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Choo, Eugene;Siow, Aloysius
我们使用婚姻匹配函数来研究人口供给变化时婚姻模式的变化。具体来说，我们使用的行为婚姻匹配功能与溢出效应，合理化在当代加拿大的婚姻和同居行为。该模型可以估计一对夫妇结婚和同居相对于保持单身的系统收益。这些收益不随人口供给的变化而变化。相反，人口供给的变化会在夫妇之间重新分配这些收益。虽然该模型是行为的，但它是非参数的。它可以拟合任何观察到的横截面婚姻匹配分布。我们使用估计模型来量化死亡率和婴儿潮对加拿大观察到的婚姻行为的性别差异的影响。男子死亡率较高，使男子比妇女少。我们发现，在婚姻市场上，男性的稀缺适度地降低了女性的福利，增加了男性的福利。另一方面，婴儿潮增加了老年男性进入婚姻市场的净收益，降低了中年女性的净收益。
We use marriage matching functions to study how marital patterns change when population supplies change. Specifically, we use a behavioral marriage matching function with spillover effects to rationalize marriage and cohabitation behavior in contemporary Canada. The model can estimate a couple systematic gains to marriage and cohabitation relative to remaining single. These gains are invariant to changes in population supplies. Instead, changes in population supplies redistribute these gains between a couple. Although the model is behavioral, it is nonparametric. It can fit any observed cross-sectional marriage matching distribution. We use the estimated model to quantify the impacts of gender differences in mortality rates and the baby boom on observed marital behavior in Canada. The higher mortality rate of men makes men scarcer than women. We show that the scarceness of men modestly reduced the welfare of women and increased the welfare of men in the marriage market. On the other hand, the baby boom increased older men net gains to entering the marriage market and lowered middle-aged women net gains.