Toward a Sustainable and Resilient Future
Toward a Sustainable and Resilient Future
复制标题
迈向可持续和有弹性的未来
DOI：
10.1017/cbo9781139177245.011
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
6.4
通讯作者：
V. Viguié
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Karen O'Brien;M. Pelling;A. Patwardhan;Stéphane Hallegatte;A. Maskrey;Taikan Oki;Ú. Oswald;T. Wilbanks;P. Yanda;Carlo Giupponi;Nobuo Mimura;Frans Berkhout;R. Biggs;H. Brauch;Katrina Brown;C. Folke;Lisa Harrington;Howard C. Kunreuther;Carmen Lacambra;R. Leichenko;R. Mechler;C. Pahl‐Wostl;V. Przyluski;D. Satterthwaite;Frank Sperling;Linda Sygna;Thomas Tanner;P. Tschakert;Kirsten Ulsrud;V. Viguié
本章重点讨论极端气候变化对发展的影响，并探讨灾害风险管理和气候变化适应如何共同促进可持续和有复原力的未来。极端事件的频率、时间、规模和特征的变化，对当前和未来减少灾害风险和脆弱性的目标构成挑战。加强社会生态系统科普、适应和塑造变化的能力，是在气候变化面前建设可持续和有复原力的发展道路的核心。社会生态系统的概念承认社会和生态因素在风险的产生和管理以及在追求可持续发展方面的相互依存性。尽管在政策议程上已有20年，但可持续发展仍然存在争议，难以实现。然而，在气候变化的背景下，越来越清楚的是，地球上人类的可持续性与具有复原力的社会生态系统密切相关，而社会生态系统又受到社会机构、人类机构和人类能力的影响。
This chapter focuses on the implications of changing climate extremes for development, and considers how disaster risk management and climate change adaptation together can contribute to a sustainable and resilient future. Changes in the frequency, timing, magnitude, and characteristics of extreme events pose challenges to the goals of reducing disaster risk and vulnerability, both in the present and in the future. Enhancing the capacity of social-ecological systems to cope with, adapt to, and shape change is central to building sustainable and resilient development pathways in the face of climate change. The concept for social-ecological systems recognizes the interdependence of social and ecological factors in the generation and management of risk, as well as in the pursuit of sustainable development. Despite 20 years on the policy agenda, sustainable development remains contested and elusive. However, within the context of climate change, it is becoming increasingly clear that the sustainability of humans on the Earth is closely linked to resilient social-ecological systems, which is influenced by social institutions, human agency, and human capabilities.