Past, current and future drivers for the development of decision support systems in forest management
Past, current and future drivers for the development of decision support systems in forest management
复制标题
森林管理决策支持系统发展的过去、现在和未来的驱动因素
DOI：
10.1080/02827581.2013.830768
复制
发表时间：
2014
影响因子：
1.8
通讯作者：
M. Lexer
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
H. Vacik;M. Lexer
决策理论、现有技术和方法为森林经营决策支持的发展提供了潜力。对决策支持的需求来自森林管理的当代挑战和问题，这些挑战和问题对科学界起到了刺激作用。森林管理的目标和方法以及技术在整个历史上一直在变化。因此，对支持规划和决策的工具的需求发生了变化。在这篇文章中，作者回顾了森林管理决策支持系统(DSS)的历史发展，并讨论了过去、现在和未来的驱动因素。基于科学文献的证据、森林经营决策支持系统(Forsys)行动框架中的案例研究以及作者的经验，对DSS的未来做出了一些假设。研究表明，在过去，森林管理和决策支持技术演变而来的驱动因素影响了模型和方法的应用方式以及DSS体系结构的设计。由于决策过程和相关模型的复杂性将与要求简单性的用户需求竞争，未来决策支持系统的开发将面临更大的挑战。
The potential for development in decision support for forest management is set by decision theory, available technology and methods. Demands for decision support are emerging from contemporary challenges and problems of forest management which act as stimuli for the science community. Objectives and approaches in forest management as well as technologies have been changing throughout history. Accordingly, the demand for tools to support planning and decision-making has evolved. In this contribution, the authors review the historic development of decision support systems (DSS) for forest management and discuss past, current and future drivers. Based on evidence from scientific literature, case studies in the frame of the Forest Management Decision Support Systems (FORSYS) action, as well as experiences of the authors some hypotheses about the future of DSS are drawn. It is shown that in the past, the drivers evolving from forest management as well as decision support technologies have influenced the way of how models and methods have been applied as well as how DSS architectures have been designed. It is concluded that in the future, the challenges for DSS development will increase, as the complexity of decision-making processes and the related models will compete with the user demands which ask for simplicity.
DOI：
--
发表时间：
1999-09
期刊：
--
影响因子：
--
作者：
最首 太郎
通讯作者：
最首 太郎