The impact of rainfall on the first out-migration: A multi-level event-history analysis in Burkina Faso
The impact of rainfall on the first out-migration: A multi-level event-history analysis in Burkina Faso
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DOI：
10.1023/b:poen.0000036928.17696.e8
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发表时间：
2004-05-01
影响因子：
3.3
通讯作者：
Beauchemin, C
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Henry, S;Schoumaker, B;Beauchemin, C
使用事件历史分析，我们调查降雨条件的影响-萨赫勒家庭生计的一个关键环境因素-在布基纳法索的第一个村庄出发的风险。按目的地和持续时间区分移徙对研究这种关系至关重要。调查结果表明，来自干旱地区的人比来自湿润地区的人更有可能临时或永久地迁移到其他农村地区。此外，短期降雨不足往往会增加长期向农村地区迁移的风险，并减少短期向遥远目的地迁移的风险。
Using event history analyses, we investigate the impact of rainfall conditions - a crucial environmental factor in the livelihood of Sahelian households - on the risk of the first village departure in Burkina Faso. The distinction of migrations by destination and duration proves critical in studying this relationship. Findings suggest that people from the drier regions are more likely than those from wetter areas to engage in both temporary and permanent migrations to other rural areas. Also, short-term rainfall deficits tend to increase the risk of long-term migration to rural areas and decrease the risk of short-term moves to distant destinations.