Analysis of Regional Difference and Correlation between Highway Traffic Development and Economic Development in China
Analysis of Regional Difference and Correlation between Highway Traffic Development and Economic Development in China
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我国公路交通发展与经济发展的区域差异及相关性分析
DOI：
10.1177/0361198118790373
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发表时间：
2018-12-01
影响因子：
1.7
通讯作者：
Deng, Haopeng
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Li, Ye;Fan, Jing;Deng, Haopeng
本研究采用三层架构分析了1997-2015年我国公路交通发展差异与经济发展差异之间的关系，并通过变异系数和泰尔指数量化了国家和地区差异的时间分布和趋势。此外，还分析了每个省份的公路交通连通性。研究结果表明，公路交通发展差异与经济发展差异显着相关，公路交通连通性差与经济发展差异也显着相关。中国公路基础设施投资差异可分为不稳定阶段（1997-2010年）和稳定阶段（2011-2015年）。公路交通发展差异也可分为两个阶段（1997-2006年和2007-2015年）。随着2006年左右中西部地区建设的推进，这种差异明显缩小；然而，区域内仍然存在巨大差异。中西部地区的省份连通性较低，一些偏远的主要城市没有高等级公路连接。中国国民经济差距不断缩小，然而，这三个地区的趋势不同。此外，随着中西部地区的发展，地区间经济差异迅速缩小。提高公路发展区域均等化水平，应缩小各地区发达省份与欠发达省份之间的差距，连接边远城市，最终缩小经济发展差异，促进区域均衡发展。
This study used three-tier architecture to analyze the relationship between the highway traffic development difference and the economic development difference in China from 1997 to 2015. Their time distribution and trends of national and regional differences were quantified via both coefficient of variation and Theil index. Furthermore, the highway traffic connectivity was analyzed for each province. The obtained results showed that the difference of highway traffic development was significantly related to the difference of economic development, and poor connectivity of highway traffic was also strongly related to economic disparity. The investment difference of China’s highway infrastructure could be divided into an unstable stage (1997–2010), and a stable stage (2011–2015). The highway traffic development difference could also be divided into two stages (1997–2006 and 2007–2015). Following the construction of central and western regions in around 2006, this difference decreased significantly; however, large differences within region remained. Provinces in the central and western regions have low connectivity and several remote main cities are not connected via high-grade highways. China’s national economic difference has been constantly decreasing; however, the three regions follow different trends. Furthermore, with the development of the central and western regions, between-region economic differences decreased rapidly. To improve the level of regional equalization for highway development, the government should reduce differences between developed and undeveloped provinces for each region and connect remote cities, thus ultimately reducing differences in economic development and promoting a balanced regional development.