Epidemiology of incident heart failure in a contemporary elderly cohort: the health, aging, and body composition study.
Epidemiology of incident heart failure in a contemporary elderly cohort: the health, aging, and body composition study.
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DOI:
10.1001/archinternmed.2009.40
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发表时间:
2009-04-13
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Butler, Javed
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Kalogeropoulos, Andreas;Georgiopoulou, Vasiliki;Kritchevsky, Stephen B.;Psaty, Bruce M.;Smith, Nicholas L.;Newman, Anne B.;Rodondi, Nicolas;Satterfield, Suzanne;Bauer, Douglas C.;Bibbins-Domingo, Kirsten;Smith, Andrew L.;Wilson, Peter W. F.;Vasan, Ramachandran S.;Harris, Tamara B.;Butler, Javed
Race- and gender- specific epidemiology of incident heart failure (HF) in a contemporary elderly cohort is not well described. We studied 2934 participants without HF enrolled in the Health ABC Study (age 73.6±2.9 years, 47.9% men, 58.6% white, 41.4% black) and assessed incidence of HF, population attributable risk (PAR) of independent risk factors for HF, and outcomes of incident HF. During a median follow-up of 7.1 years, 258 (8.8%) participants developed HF (13.6/1000 person-years). Men and blacks were more likely to develop HF. No significant sex-based differences were observed in risk factors. Coronary heart disease (whites: PAR 23.9%, blacks: PAR 29.5%) and uncontrolled blood pressure (whites: PAR 21.3%, blacks: PAR 30.1%) carried the highest PAR in both races. In blacks, 6 out of 8 risk factors assessed (coronary heart disease, uncontrolled blood pressure, left ventricular hypertrophy, reduced glomerular filtration rate, smoking, and increased heart rate) had >5% higher PAR compared to whites, leading to a higher overall proportion of HF attributable to modifiable risk factors in blacks vs. whites (67.8% vs. 48.9%). Participants who developed HF had a higher annual mortality (18.0% vs. 2.7%). No racial difference in survival after HF was noted; however, rehospitalization rates were higher in blacks (62.1 vs. 30.3/100 person-years, P<.001). Incident HF is common in the elderly; a large proportion of HF risk was attributed to modifiable risk factors. Racial differences in risk factors for HF and in hospitalization rates after HF need to be accounted for prevention and treatment efforts.
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