Simulation Modeling in Ecosystem Science

Simulation Modeling in Ecosystem Science
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生态系统科学仿真建模

DOI:
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发表时间:
1998
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
S. Running
S. Running
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
W. Lauenroth;C. Canham;A. Kinzig;K. A. Poiani;W. Kemp;S. Running

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生态系统科学已经失去了过去与模拟建模的密切联系。在该领域成立之初,模拟被视为提供组织和集成的关键技术。模拟模型在1997年CARY会议上发挥的小作用是推动本章的动力,该会议的组织是为了突出生态系统科学过去的成功和未来的挑战。我们分析的关键潜在假设是,模拟建模代表了生态系统科学家可用的最强大的工具之一。科学界期望生态系统科学在分析与全球变化有关的问题方面发挥作用,这一点尤其正确。本章的目标是解决关于模拟建模在生态系统科学中的作用的以下四个问题: 1. 模拟建模可以或应该在生态系统科学中发挥什么作用? 2. 在过去的几十年里,生态系统科学和模拟建模之间的关系是如何演变的?在这种关系中,有哪些成功的例子? 3. 模拟模型在生态系统科学中的使用是如何受到限制的,是什么因素导致了这些限制? 4. 模拟模型对未来生态系统科学的进步有何贡献?
Ecosystem science has lost its past close connection to simulation modeling. At the inception of the field, simulation was viewed as a crucial technology to provide organization and integration. The small role that simulation modeling played in the 1997 Cary Conference, which was organized to highlight the past successes and future challenges in ecosystem science, was the impetus for this chapter. The key underlying assumption of our analysis is that simulation modeling represents one of the most powerful tools available to ecosystem scientists. This is particularly true with respect to the role that the scientific community is expecting ecosystem science to play in the analysis of problems associated with global change. Our objective for this chapter was to address the following four questions about the role of simulation modeling in ecosystem science: 1. What role could or should simulation modeling play in ecosystem science? 2. How has the relationship between ecosystem science and simulation modeling evolved over the past few decades, and what are some examples of successes in that relationship? 3. How has the use of simulation models in ecosystem science been limited, and what factors have contributed to those limitations? 4. How might simulation models contribute to advances in ecosystem science in the future?